The bank says the Chinese visitor market is flagging, leading to a more protracted recovery in New Zealand.
Kiwis are planning to spend less on holiday accommodation and dining out this summer, says Westpac.
The sector is “a ray of sunshine” in difficult economic times, says the bank.
Otago and Auckland in particular are benefitting from the recovery in international travel.
Tourism is one of the bright spots for New Zealand’s economy in an otherwise muted environment, says Westpac.
The bank says consolidation through M&A or JVs will help the industry transform and adapt to a new technological era.
Westpac economists are forecasting a continued rebound in tourism and hospitality, but the pace has slowed down.
Westpac is increasing its support to $4m for businesses and communities affected by Cyclone Gabrielle and the flooding events.
Westpac has extended relief options for customers affected by damage caused by Cyclone Gabrielle.
Westpac New Zealand has launched a $1m fund to help its small business customers impacted by the floods in the upper North Island.
Regions with strong international tourist appeal and food-producing industries should fare best in 2023 as the economy slows, says the bank.
But the bank warns a new Covid wave, the cost of living crisis, and China uncertainty could drag growth.
“Now that our borders are open, tourists are flocking in, regardless of the state of the global economy,” says the bank.
Which regions will benefit most from the increase in tourist spending?
The Chinese are yet to return but arrivals from other countries are on the move.
Economic confidence in the Otago region jumped 10 points over the December quarter, according to the latest Westpac McDermott Miller Regional Economic Confidence report.
Tourism-dependent Otago has suffered from Auckland’s lockdown.
Tourism and hospitality dependent regions reported falling confidence in the latest Westpac McDermott Miller Consumer Confidence Survey.